This new study titled “A Supply and Demand Framework for Bitcoin Price Forecasting” was made by Murray A. Rudd and Dennis Porter.
The research explores a flexible equilibrium model combining Bitcoin’s inelastic supply with its evolving demand. It provides insights into Bitcoin’s potential price trajectory.
Bitcoin’s Fixed Supply and Halving Events: A $5M Potential?
The study kicks off by examining Bitcoin through the lens of its unique monetary attributes, like its fixed supply and the impact of halving events, which are akin to a supply squeeze in traditional markets. With the April 2024 halving as a starting point, the researchers explore various scenarios. They consider how institutional adoption and long-term holding patterns could push Bitcoin’s price to new heights.
Here’s where it gets interesting for the average Joe or Jane looking to invest: according to the model, if withdrawals from Bitcoin’s liquid supply to BTC strategic reserves exceed 1,000 BTC per day, we might see Bitcoin hitting the $1 million mark by early 2027. That’s not just a pie in the sky; it’s based on real-world data and economic fundamentals. And if you’re in it for the long haul, the researchers suggest Bitcoin could soar to $5 million by 2031, provided the trend of reducing supply continues.
A peer-reviewed study suggests #Bitcoin could hit $1M by early 2027 if withdrawals from liquid supply exceed 1,000 $BTC per day.
The study warns that while increased demand can drive prices up, higher withdrawal levels might also introduce volatility due to supply scarcity. This is where the rubber meets the road; investors need to buckle up for a potentially bumpy ride. Especially if they’re looking at Bitcoin not just as a speculative asset but as a strategic one.
Bitcoin: A Long-Term Playbook for Investors and Policymakers
The framework isn’t just about predicting prices. It’s a tool for testing different market scenarios, much like playing chess with various strategies. This approach could be crucial for both investors and policymakers to understand Bitcoin’s role in an investment portfolio. Especially when considering how to diversify or hedge against traditional financial systems.
In a nutshell, this study doesn’t just throw numbers around. Also, It explains why Bitcoin could be a golden opportunity for long-term investors. As the saying goes, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket,” but with this kind of analysis, maybe it’s time to consider putting a few more into Bitcoin’s basket, especially if you believe in its fundamentals.
This articles is written by : Fady Askharoun Samy Askharoun
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